A sample of the party, based on tens of thousands of voter contacts, showed that of those who intend to vote on repeat election day, the Conservatives had 46% support and the Liberal Democrats 44%. The party said it had a four-point deficit at the same point before the recent North Shropshire election in December, which it won. Victory for the Liberal Democrats in Tiverton and Honiton requires the overthrow of a conservative majority of 24,239, which the party says would be the largest margin ever exceeded in a by-election, although other races have seen greater percentage fluctuations. . If the polls are accurate, they suggest that an unspeakable agreement between the Liberal Democrats and Labor to focus resources on one of the two elections next Thursday could lead to a double defeat for Boris Johnson. The Labor Party has focused its efforts on Wakefield, where it appears to be well ahead. Lib Dem figures suggest Labor support in Tiverton and Honiton, where they have tried less, has shrunk to 6%. Labor finished ahead of the Liberal Democrats in Tiverton and Honiton in 2019, and activists strongly dispute the idea that they are far behind this time around, saying recent City Council gains suggest they will outperform the Lib Dems again. . While the Liberal Democrats have triumphed in two previously strong Tory seats in the past year, starting with a landslide victory in Chesham and Amersham, the party’s executives are putting their chances at Devon 50-50. The Conservatives have campaigned hard in Tiverton and Honiton, with Johnson among a number of senior dignitaries to visit. The Liberal Democrats have expressed concern that some former Tory voters, while unhappy with issues such as Downing Street parties and allegations that the government has neglected the area, could simply stay home instead of shifting their support. The Liberal Democrats called on lawmakers, colleagues and activists to go to the polls immediately to help with the investigation, with officials saying travel plans should be made due to next week’s nationwide strike. A party source said: “The momentum is definitely with the Liberal Democrats in Tiverton and Honiton, but it is by no means off the line. If we have an army of activists knocking on doors this weekend, we can do it. “Whatever happens, it will be very close.” Subscribe to the First Edition, our free daily newsletter – every day at 7 p.m. BST The re-election was prompted by the resignation of Neil Parish, the Tory MP from 2010, after he admitted to watching pornography on his Commonwealth phone. The vote in Wakefield comes after Imran Ahmad Khan, who previously held the Conservative Labor seat in 2019, resigned after being found guilty of sexually assaulting a 15-year-old boy.
